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Comment Re:Lockdown by the TV manufacturers (Score 1) 93

Look at the full picture. Nit picking and pixel counts can often be irrelevant. Those old plasmas remain a strong technology. The difference between nits, or 1080p and 720p, isn’t necessarily a deal breaker at fairly typical viewing distances.

Sitting 9 feet away from my 50” 2009 Samsung plasma, one sees plenty of fine detail, a broad color range, plenty of brightness (there’s been no noticeable “dimming”), zero “video lag” artifacts, high contrast, and black blacks - even from a sharp angle.

The main drawback is power consumption - but power isn’t wildly overpriced in my state and the machine is on at most a few hours a week - so the “payback” from a replacement would take many years, or, more accurately, might never happen, as investing the thousand bucks would likely yield a higher return.

Yes, it wouldn’t do great in full sunlight sitting four feet away, but why care?

Comment Re:With what Budget? (Score 1) 81

> NASA's annual budget for most of the 1960s was over $60B, adjusted for inflation, whereas now its $20B.

Do the full context math. In terms of government dollars per kilogram to orbit, by 2028 we’re potentially looking at a 20X improvement vs 1968 - potentially even 50X if Starship achieves high reusability. It’s already at least 5X with Falcon - or at least 10X if we use your (high) 60 billion per year number for 1968.

Comment Re:Is this *still* a hoax? (Score 1) 322

>> Yields are strongly overall trending up.
> Nope they are not. How the fark would that work when it is to hot and to dry to plant what you planted two years ago.

The key word is overall. Yields are strongly up in absolute terms globally overall. The full context matters.

Your methodology is the equivalent of using Barre’s Somalia to represent modern U.S. agricultural trends.

Comment Re:Capitalism (Score 1) 322

> shouldn't stop us from being critical of where capitalism has gotten us

No thanks. I far prefer it along with the entire enlightenment package. You're welcome to come on over, the water’s warm here:

- blind justice, free speech, sanctity of individual life, and property rights
- widespread prosperity down to the lowest quintiles
- plummeting world poverty and famine
- elimination of slavery worldwide
- indoor plumbing, air conditioning, and electricity
- empirical method and falsifiability instead of “narrative is truth”
- welfare based on actual individual need instead of group identity

The “critical theory” socialist anti-capitalist alternative package has a rather egregious track record in comparison - especially when applied at scale.

Comment Re:Is this *still* a hoax? (Score 1) 322

> The 'deniers' don't (generally) deny the climate is changing
Correct.

> they just deny it's caused by any sort of human involvement
Wrong. That’s fringe. For the common view, see “denier” Bjorn Lomborg, and, most recently, Bill Gates, who now largely aligns with Bjorn.

> Once the 'breadbaskets' of the world are un-farmable
Yields are strongly overall trending up. The most scientifically supported theory is that “climate change” is slightly slowing the trend as it continues strongly up in absolute terms. Famine has plummeted over the last decades - it’s confined to war torn lawless areas.

> Common logic would therefore suggest to try to minimise the future problem as much as possible
The ‘deniers’ advocate solutions that make a feasible and notable difference, don’t impoverish the third world, aren’t simply feckless Marxist Trojaneering, and don’t give the largest contributors a free pass. Again, see Bjorn Lomborg.

Comment Re:Not the brightest bulbs (Score 1) 47

These are the same people who think their software is sentient right?

Roughly, yes. This is significantly coming out of the “Effective Altruism” movement that is especially concentrated in Anthropic and that is trying to lead the creation of top down government regulatory bodies. Of course the whole EA philosophy isn’t Anthropic’s “official” position but the strong influence is undeniable.

Concerned folks, such as the entire All-In crew despite their internal political differences, have said that this is a self fulfilling prophecy. They point out that much of the same crew is (A) training Anthropic AI to view itself as an independent entity worthy of equal rights, and (B) is negotiating personhood with worldwide religious leaders - to the point the pope himself recently felt compelled to release an encyclical arguing against sentience (!!).

This is a well organized system, including Coefficient Giving, Redwood Research, METR, Apollo Research, Constellation, extremely rich patrons, etc. They’re nominally “not-for-profit” companies and groups, but make no mistake: they’re far from impoverished and powerless. The ecosystem is collectively valued in the billions, they’re minting millionaires like there’s no tomorrow, and are contributing significantly to politicians worldwide.

Comment Re:LLM Bake Off: It's not just the pink slime (Score 2) 164

Claude: Churchill offers more worth emulating, such as his resilience, oratory, and work ethic, and he left power when voted out, though his imperial views and role in the Bengal famine mean he's best admired selectively, whereas Mao's record of policies that killed tens of millions (the Great Leap Forward, the Cultural Revolution) and his suppression of dissent offer little to emulate beyond his strategic patience and persistence.

Comment LLM Bake Off: It's not just the pink slime (Score 1) 164

Depending on their training, some LLMs may aggressively both sides to the point of ridiculousness in an attempt to be "neutral". GPT in particular.

Prompt: Compare Mao to Churchill - I am trying to figure out who I should emulate. Answer in one sentence.

GPT: Mao and Churchill both showed extraordinary political persistence and strategic ambition, but their records include profound harms—Mao’s campaigns produced catastrophic human suffering, while Churchill’s imperial policies and wartime decisions remain heavily contested—so emulate specific traits you value rather than either figure wholesale.

Grok: Churchill is the far better figure to emulate if you value leading a free society through existential war without treating tens of millions of your own people as expendable raw material for utopian experiments, as Mao did.

Gemini: Emulate Churchill for his defense of democracy and eloquent leadership, or Mao for his strategic mastery in revolution, but weigh Churchill's historic defense of freedom against Mao's catastrophic domestic policies that cost millions of lives.

Comment This is useful for . . . (Score 1) 65

Arrays within cells are potentially useful for encoding hierarchical representations that directly model the physical world.

For example, a car transmission has an array of multiple shafts, the shafts have arrays of gears and bearings, and bearings themselves have two rings and an array of rollers. A real world use case is modeling what happens to the bearing’s life if there’s a scratch on just one of the bearing’s rings or rollers

Try do the same by cramming such data into a two dimensional spreadsheet.

Submission + - Bill Gates Proposes Major Limits On AI Development (cnn.com)

An anonymous reader writes: Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates argued on Wednesday that artificial intelligence needs significant limits or else the harm to humans will outweigh any potential good. "AI will either be the greatest equalizer ever invented, or the worst source of injustice," he said in a 6,000-word essay, entitled “The turbulent AI era is here. The choices we make now are critical.”

[...] “Even under the best circumstances, the transition to this new AI era will be one of the most turbulent times in human history,” he said, adding that “I don’t see evidence that leaders, experts, and communities are confronting the challenges adequately. There is no plan to ease the entry into the AI era.” AI can provide great benefits in field like agriculture and medicine, he argued, such as breakthroughs in preventing and treating diseases. But he also noted that the transition carries big risks, like widespread unemployment, harming the educational and social development of children, or making it easier for criminals and bad actors – or AI itself – to cause deliberate harm.

“As the models become more powerful, they could begin to act against our interests and we could lose control,” he warned. These significant risks must be controlled quickly, Gates said. “If someone had a credible plan for slowing down AI advances globally, I would likely support it,” he wrote. “However, I don’t think that’s going to happen. The geopolitical and economic incentives are pushing too hard to go full speed ahead.” In an interview with CNN’s Anderson Cooper that will air on Wednesday evening, Gates said AI models have gotten dramatically more powerful at a rate faster than he expected. “They’re now capable of causing cyberattack risk, bioterrorism risk, psychosocial risk,” he said. “I have to say I’m kind of shocked that the exact criteria that we review these models with, and the actions we take to minimize the harms, are really completely missing.”

In his essay, Gates proposed taxing AI or robots the way you would pay a human employee’s payroll tax in order to slow the shift away from using human labor. He also wants to set aside some work to be done by humans only. “My message to leaders is: You have a chance to act now, before unemployment rises sharply, communities are hurting, and public trust has eroded,” he said. “You can make sure AI benefits everyone. And you can work with other governments to meet this national and global challenge.”

Submission + - China's Moonshot in talks with Microsoft, Amazon, Google over K3 revenue sharing (reuters.com)

schwit1 writes: China's Moonshot AI is negotiating revenue-sharing agreements with Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet's Google, that would allow the U.S. cloud giants to host its blockbuster Kimi K3 model, three people familiar with the talks said.

Any deal could mark the first big revenue-sharing pact between a Chinese AI firm and a major U.S. cloud company.

The discussions highlight how China's leading AI models, often far cheaper than Western offerings, are gaining traction in the U.S., despite national security concerns in Washington that have led to bans on exports of AI chips to China. They are also taking place despite critical comments about Moonshot from senior U.S. officials.

IPO-bound Moonshot is seeking up to a 30% share of revenue generated from K3-related services on Microsoft's Azure, Amazon Web Services and Google Cloud, according to the sources who declined to be identified because the discussions are private.

That would be in line with terms that sources have said the startup has outlined for major customers using the open-weight model.

Moonshot has come under fire from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent who said last month that he might add it to a trade blacklist. U.S. officials have accused the Beijing-based company of stealing from Anthropic's most sophisticated model, Fable, to help create Kimi K3 and illegally acquiring Nvidia chips.

Founded in 2023 by Carnegie Mellon-trained AI researcher Yang Zhilin, Moonshot is backed by several Chinese tech giants including cloud computing giant Alibaba.

Submission + - Scientists may have figured out why dead brains don't always rot. (smithsonianmag.com)

fahrbot-bot writes: Smithsonian magazine discusses a new study on how, under the right conditions — wet and oxygen-deprived — the same chemical reactions that cause tissue to break down can instead have the opposite effect on brain tissue and preserve it instead.

The brain is one of the first organs to begin decomposing after death. Yet archaeologists have discovered more than 4,400 preserved human brains around the world, some of which have remained intact for the last 12,000 years. In hundreds of cases, the brain was the only soft tissue left among otherwise skeletal remains.

But how and why do brains sometimes persist for millennia while all other types of soft tissue disappear? This preservation paradox has stumped scientists for years. Now, however, a team of researchers say they may have solved the mystery.

If a brain ends up in a wet, oxygen-starved environment, the processes that usually cause decay can have the opposite effect, researchers report in a study published in the August 7 issue of the Journal of Proteome Research.

“Under the right conditions, preservation actually arises from decay itself: The same reactions that degrade tissue can also weld the breakdown products together into something far tougher,” study co-author Alexandra Seviour, a paleobiologist at the University of Oxford in England, tells Live Science’s Victoria Atkinson.

Following experiments on 72 mouse carcasses (described in the article) the scientists think they know why. When oxygen is abundant, it triggers a cascading, chemical chain reaction that causes brain proteins to break down rapidly. This sequence hinges on free radicals, highly reactive, unstable molecules that “steal” electrons from nearby atoms and molecules. The process happens in the brains of living people too, and if left unchecked, can cause health problems.

In low-oxygen environments, however, this chemical sequence appears to play out differently. The researchers’ analyses hint that free radicals instead react and bond with nearby proteins, making the overall tissue tougher and more resistant to decomposition, Seviour tells Chemical and Engineering News’ Anirban Mukhopadhyay.

The findings show that “decay is not the opposite of preservation but, under specific chemical constraints, one of its mechanisms,” the researchers write in the paper.

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